Publication

InflationWatch - December 2025

calendar icon 16 December 2025
time icon 5 min

Authors

Chris Arcari
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Chris Arcari

Head of Capital Markets

Mdoria

Matthew Doria

Investment Research Analyst

After the Covid-19 pandemic, inflation rose more sharply and persisted for longer than market participants expected in many countries, including the UK. Expansive monetary and fiscal policies, supply-chain disruptions, and a pandemic-driven shift in demand from services to goods all contributed to inflation. The Russia-Ukraine conflict exacerbated these price pressures by causing a global supply shock.

We continue to publish InflationWatch to help our clients assess the outlook for inflation. We include updates on the latest inflation data, market-based and consensus forecasts, and our assessment of the balance of risks to inflation and interest rates.

In this edition of InflationWatch, our experts cover: 

  • Key highlights: May to September 2025
  • The story to date
  • Outlook indications

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If you have any questions on anything covered in this edition of InflationWatch, please get in touch

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